Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

About Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? is a prediction market on Polymarket. Each outcome's price is the market's implied probability, and a correct share pays 1 USDC when the market resolves.

Yes leads at 10%, decimal odds 10.53.

Yes

10% · odds ×10.53

No

91% · odds ×1.10

Closes

1 Jan 2028