Markets
Most traded markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?2%before 2027$1.2M vol58d
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?69%SpaceX$82.7K vol59d
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?56%December 31, 2027$10.5K volJan 2028
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?4%2026$9K volJan 2029
Plague pandemic in 2026?1%Yes$6.5K vol58d
New pandemic in 2026?2%Yes$5K vol58d
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?>99%5000$4.9K vol58d
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?82%0 more Millennium Prize Problems$4.2K vol58d
How many US births in 2026?38%between 3.56 million and 3.59$3K volMay 2027
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?66%December 31, 2027$2.4K volJan 2028
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?23%determine the Ramsey number R(5,5)$1.9K vol58d
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?90%SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026$1.8K volJul 2027
Human moon landing in 2026?<1%Yes$1.4K vol58d
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?33%Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027$1.4K volJan 2028
Science
25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?2%before 2027$1.2M vol58d
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?69%SpaceX$82.7K vol59d
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?56%December 31, 2027$10.5K volJan 2028
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?4%2026$9K volJan 2029
Plague pandemic in 2026?1%Yes$6.5K vol58d
New pandemic in 2026?2%Yes$5K vol58d
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?>99%5000$4.9K vol58d
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?82%0 more Millennium Prize Problems$4.2K vol58d
How many US births in 2026?38%between 3.56 million and 3.59$3K volMay 2027
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?66%December 31, 2027$2.4K volJan 2028
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?23%determine the Ramsey number R(5,5)$1.9K vol58d
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?90%SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026$1.8K volJul 2027
Human moon landing in 2026?<1%Yes$1.4K vol58d
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?33%Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027$1.4K volJan 2028
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?75%Will less than 5$1.1K vol58d
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?26%June 30, 2027$1.1K volJul 2027
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?10%Yes$798.28 vol58d
Plague declared public health emergency by...?2%December 31$679.45 vol58d
Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?20%95mm or more$602.70 volFeb 2027
Measles cases in U.S. by November 30?80%5600$548.46 vol27d
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?10%2027$500 volJan 2028
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?3%Yes$462.87 vol58d
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?11%December$387.70 vol58d
PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...?44%30$278.18 vol27d