Markets
Most traded markets
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?73%Democratic$1.9M vol5d
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?8%Catherine Cortez Masto$15.4K volJan 2027
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?7%Yes$13.1K volJan 2027
Blue wave in 2026?88%Yes$13K volJan 2027
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?<1%Yes$11.2K vol5d
Blue tsunami in 2026?66%Yes$5.5K volJan 2027
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?41%December 31, 2028$5K volJan 2029
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?33%Yes$4.8K volJan 2027
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)49%48 or more$3.9K vol4d
Government shutdown by...?28%12$2K volJan 2027
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory27%Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%$1.9K vol5d
House Minority Leader of the next Congress?45%Jim Jordan$1.7K vol5d
Speaker of the House after the midterms?91%Hakeem Jeffries$1.3K vol5d
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?5%Yes$924.35 volJan 2027
Congress
29
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?73%Democratic$1.9M vol5d
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?8%Catherine Cortez Masto$15.4K volJan 2027
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?7%Yes$13.1K volJan 2027
Blue wave in 2026?88%Yes$13K volJan 2027
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?<1%Yes$11.2K vol5d
Blue tsunami in 2026?66%Yes$5.5K volJan 2027
Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?41%December 31, 2028$5K volJan 2029
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?33%Yes$4.8K volJan 2027
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)49%48 or more$3.9K vol4d
Government shutdown by...?28%12$2K volJan 2027
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory27%Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%$1.9K vol5d
House Minority Leader of the next Congress?45%Jim Jordan$1.7K vol5d
Speaker of the House after the midterms?91%Hakeem Jeffries$1.3K vol5d
Will Congress override any veto in 2026?5%Yes$924.35 volJan 2027
2026 Midterms: House Turnout28%between 115m and 120m$861.77 vol5d
Next US Senate Minority Leader?52%John Thune$679.93 volJan 2027
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?74%Yes$439.88 volJan 2029
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?38%December$383.86 volJan 2027
Which bills will become law in 2026?39%Export-control chip security$276.10 volJan 2027
Next Senate Majority Leader?57%Chuck Schumer$272.57 vol5d
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?9%December$200 volJan 2027
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?44%Yes$162.93 volJan 2027
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?<1%31$100 vol35h
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?9%Yes$100 volJan 2027